/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flinlog.png)
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1'
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Conor Hourihane
26'
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Kane Wilson
65'
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James Collins
77'
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Conor Hourihane
84'
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James Collins
90'+3'
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Daniel Mandroiu
45'+2'
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Adam Jackson
57'
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Jack Vale
85'
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Ethan Erhahon
89'
Derby County vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 13.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Derby County Goals
Lincoln City Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 13.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 66.02%
0-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.84%
1-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 13.14%