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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Leeds United |
| 27.2% ( | 24.78% ( | 48.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( | 48.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( | 70.32% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( | 31.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.74% ( | 68.26% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( | 20.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( | 52.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 2-1 @ 6.73% ( 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 3-0 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.2% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0-4 @ 1.77% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.02% |