Championship

Championship | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
3 - 0
Birmingham

Bamford (34'), James (45+1'), Summerville (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Stansfield (20'), Sunjic (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Leeds
Friday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Birmingham City
66.46% ( 0.03)	18.82% ( -0.02)	14.71% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.88% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.83% (

0.04)

38.17% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.56% (

0.04)

60.44% (

-0.04)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.34% (

0.02)

10.66% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.48% (

0.04)

34.52% (

-0.04)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.42% (

38.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.68% (

75.32% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 66.46%

Birmingham City 14.71%

Draw 18.82%

Leeds United	Draw	Birmingham City
2-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 4.52% Total : 66.46%	1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.82%	1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 14.71%