Championship Gameweek 26
Leeds
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
Birmingham
  • Patrick Bamford 34' goal
  • Daniel James 45'+1' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 67' goal
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 20'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 36'

Leeds United vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2023 8.15pm
West Brom 1 - 0 Leeds
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Birmingham 0 - 0 Bristol City
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Leeds United 66.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 18.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Birmingham City 14.71% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.88% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 38.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 39.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 60.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 78.21% ▼ (-0.04)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 89.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 10.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 65.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 34.52% ▼ (-0.04)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 61.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.57%
Over 1.5 24.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Leeds United 66.46%
Draw 18.82%
Birmingham City 14.71%
Leeds United
2-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 66.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.82%
Birmingham City
1-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49%
1-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 14.71%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 2
Birmingham
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Leeds
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 90'+1' goal
  • John Ruddy 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 22'
  • yellowcard Sam Byram 45'+1'
Championship Gameweek 25
Birmingham
Dec 29, 2019 3.00pm
4
5
HT : 1 2
FT
Leeds
  • Jude Bellingham 27' goal
  • Gary Gardner 39' yellowcard
  • Wes Harding 48' yellowcard
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 61' goal
  • Kerim Mrabti 62' yellowcard
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 63' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Bela 83' goal
  • Lukas Jutkiewicz 91' goal
  • Jefferson Montero 92' yellowcard
  • goal Helder Costa 15'
  • goal Jack Harrison 21'
  • goal Luke Ayling 69'
  • yellowcard Kiko Casilla 71'
  • yellowcard Eddie Nketiah 73'
  • goal Stuart Dallas 84'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 88'
  • goal Wes Harding 94' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 12
Leeds
Oct 19, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Birmingham
  • Ezgjan Alioski 42' yellowcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 65' goal
  • Kiko Casilla 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Jutkiewicz 21'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 43'
Championship Gameweek 40
Birmingham
Apr 6, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)
Leeds
  • Che Adams 29' goal
  • Harlee Dean 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 30'
  • yellowcard Pontus Jansson 76'
  • yellowcard Pablo Hernandez 83'
Championship Gameweek 9
Leeds
Sep 22, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
Birmingham
  • Samuel Saiz 57' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 85' goal
  • Adam Forshaw 90' yellowcard
  • goal Che Adams 8'
  • goal Che Adams 29'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 41'
  • yellowcard Michael Morrison 67'
  • yellowcard Maikel Kieftenbeld 79'
  • yellowcard Kristian Pedersen 84'
Championship
Birmingham
Dec 30, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
  • Jonathan Grounds 65' yellowcard
  • Jacques Maghoma 83' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Cooper 50'
  • yellowcard Kemar Roofe 57'

Form Data

West Brom 1 - 0 Leeds
Preston 2 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 4 - 0 Ipswich
Leeds 1 - 1 Coventry
Sunderland 1 - 0 Leeds
Blackburn 0 - 2 Leeds
Birmingham 0 - 0 Bristol City
Birmingham 1 - 3 Stoke
Plymouth 3 - 3 Birmingham
Birmingham 2 - 3 Leicester
Cardiff 0 - 1 Birmingham
Coventry 2 - 0 Birmingham