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Championship header 2

Championship

Cardiff City logo
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Leeds logo

Cardiff
0 - 3
Leeds


Ng (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bamford (13'), James (31'), Rutter (88')
Gruev (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-0 Cardiff
Saturday, January 6 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Leeds
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
29.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 52.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63%51.37% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.0040000000000049 0)32.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.47% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 29.17%
    Leeds United 45%
    Draw 25.83%
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 10.78%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Leeds

Cardiff City
16.7%
Draw
9.5%
Leeds United
73.8%
42
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Leeds
2-2
Cardiff
Cooper (49'), Summerville (90+5')
Ampadu (90+3'), Summerville (90+6')
Bowler (23'), Ugbo (39')
Meite (70')
> Match Report
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Leeds
5-2
Cardiff
Gnonto (1', 36'), Rodrigo (34'), Bamford (71', 76')
Robinson (84', 90+3')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Third Round
Cardiff
2-2
Leeds
Philogene-Bidace (24'), Ojo (31')
Rodrigo (65'), Perkins (90+3')
> Match Report
Jun 21, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-0
Leeds
> Match Report
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Leeds
3-3
Cardiff
> Match Report