Championship Gameweek 27
Cardiff
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Leeds
  • Perry Ng 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick Bamford 13'
  • goal Daniel James 31'
  • yellowcard Ilia Gruev 74'
  • goal Georginio Rutter 88'

Cardiff City vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
QPR 1 - 2 Cardiff
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Perry Ng

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
Leeds 3 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Cardiff City 29.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 25.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Leeds United 45% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.51%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.63%
Under 2.5 51.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 26.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 73.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 12.53%
Under 4.5 87.48% ▲ (+0.01)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 67.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.47% ▲ (+0.01)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 77.23%
Under 0.5 22.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 43.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.47% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 29.17%
Draw 25.83%
Leeds United 45%
Cardiff City
1-0 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.83%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 10.78%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 45%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 1
Leeds
Aug 6, 2023 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Elland Road
Cardiff
  • Liam Cooper 49' goal
  • Ethan Ampadu 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Crysencio Summerville 90'+5' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Bowler 23'
  • goal Ike Ugbo 39'
  • yellowcard Yakou Meite 70'
FA Cup
Leeds
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 3 0
FT Elland Road
Cardiff
  • Willy Gnonto 1' goal
  • Rodrigo 34' goal
  • Willy Gnonto 36' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 71' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 76' goal
  • goal Callum Robinson 84'
  • goal Callum Robinson 90'+3'
FA Cup
Cardiff
Jan 8, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Leeds
  • Jaden Philogene-Bidace 24' goal
  • Sheyi Ojo 31' goal
  • goal Rodrigo 65'
  • goal Sonny Perkins 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 38
Cardiff
Jun 21, 2020 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Leeds
  • Junior Hoilett 36' goal
  • Albert Adomah 42' yellowcard
  • Junior Hoilett 43' yellowcard
  • Robert Glatzel 72' goal
  • yellowcard Helder Costa 37'
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tyler Roberts 57'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 81'
Championship Gameweek 22
Leeds
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT
Cardiff
  • Helder Costa 6' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 8' goal
  • Pablo Hernandez 45' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 52' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Tomlin 32'
  • goal Lee Tomlin 60'
  • goal Sean Morrison 82'
  • redcard Sean Morrison 86'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 88'
Championship
Leeds
Feb 3, 2018 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Cardiff
  • Gaetano Berardi 26' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Berardi 45' redcard
  • Sol Bamba 54' goal
  • goal Callum Paterson 9'
  • yellowcard Gary Madine 35'
  • goal Junior Hoilett 41'
  • goal Sean Morrison 45'
  • yellowcard Joe Ralls 45'
  • yellowcard Anthony Pilkington 79'
  • yellowcard Marko Grujic 82'
  • goal Anthony Pilkington 88'

Form Data

Sheff Weds 4 - 0 Cardiff
QPR 1 - 2 Cardiff
Cardiff 0 - 2 Leicester
Cardiff 2 - 2 Plymouth
Sheff Weds 1 - 2 Cardiff
Hull City 3 - 0 Cardiff
Peterborough 0 - 3 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 0 Birmingham
West Brom 1 - 0 Leeds
Preston 2 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 4 - 0 Ipswich
Leeds 1 - 1 Coventry