FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Hillsborough Stadium

Sheff Weds
4 - 0
Cardiff

Windass (2'), Sawyers (38' og.), Palmer (40'), Wilks (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Benjamin (27'), Bowler (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, January 1 at 5.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 1-2 Cardiff
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield Wednesday	Draw	Cardiff City
46.2% ( 0.05)	25.66% ( 0.01)	28.15% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.4% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.79% (

-0.08)

51.21% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95% (

-0.07)

73.05% (

0.07)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85% (

-0.01)

22.15% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.46% (

-0.02)

55.54% (

0.02)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.31% (

-0.09)

32.69% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.76% (

-0.1)

69.24% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Sheffield Wednesday 46.19%

Cardiff City 28.15%

Draw 25.65%

Sheffield Wednesday	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.19%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.15%