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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Cardiff
2 - 2
Plymouth

Butcher (31' og.), Grant (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Whittaker (17', 66')
Gibson (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Birmingham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
52.84% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)24.13% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)23.02% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.065000000000005 0.07)48.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.058 0.06)71.04% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.012999999999991 0.01)18.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)49.68% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (0.072999999999993 0.07)35.77% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.46% (0.074999999999999 0.07)72.54% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 52.84%
    Plymouth Argyle 23.02%
    Draw 24.13%
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.84%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.02%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Plymouth

Cardiff City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Plymouth Argyle
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2017 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Cardiff
Zohore (49')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Plymouth

Bothroyd (33')
Sawyer (84')
Johnson (18'), Fallon (29'), Larrieu (49'), Fletcher (67')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Cardiff
Gow (90' pen.)
Sawyer (24')
Chopra (4', 80', 85')
Capaldi (28'), Matthews (36')
Capaldi (90')
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
Nov 22, 2008 3pm