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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Cardiff
2 - 2
Plymouth

Butcher (31' og.), Grant (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Whittaker (17', 66')
Gibson (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Birmingham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

Possessing an encouraging unbeaten run, Plymouth will fancy their chances of causing the upset at the Cardiff City Stadium. However, the Welsh giants have enough about them to stay in the playoff race if they win games such as this one, and we feel a late goal could prove decisive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
52.84% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 24.13% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 23.02% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.065000000000005 0.07)48.95% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.058 0.06)71.04% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.012999999999991 0.01)18.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)49.68% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (0.072999999999993 0.07)35.77% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.46% (0.074999999999999 0.07)72.54% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 52.84%
    Plymouth Argyle 23.02%
    Draw 24.13%
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.84%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 23.02%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Plymouth

Cardiff City
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Plymouth Argyle
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2017 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Cardiff
Zohore (49')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Plymouth

Bothroyd (33')
Sawyer (84')
Johnson (18'), Fallon (29'), Larrieu (49'), Fletcher (67')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Cardiff
Gow (90' pen.)
Sawyer (24')
Chopra (4', 80', 85')
Capaldi (28'), Matthews (36')
Capaldi (90')
Dec 28, 2008 3pm
Nov 22, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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