Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 20, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
5 - 0
Crystal Palace

Magalhaes (11'), Henderson (37' og.), Trossard (59'), Martinelli (90+4', 90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reaction

Crystal Palace's Jefferson Lerma in action with Arsenal's Gabriel Jesus on January 20, 2024

Arsenal equal Premier League club record in Crystal Palace win

Arsenal equal a club record by matching their biggest-ever London derby Premier League victory in beating Crystal Palace 5-0.

Jan 20, 17:31

Arsenal midfielder Declan Rice on January 20, 2024

Mikel Arteta provides Declan Rice injury update after Crystal Palace clash

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta plays down suggestions that Declan Rice could be facing time on the sidelines with the issue that forced him off against Crystal Palace.

Jan 20, 17:26

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 10.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Crystal Palace
73.14% ( -1.45)	16.05% ( 0.57)	10.81% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 52.87% (

1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.19% (

-0.06)

34.82% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.22% (

-0.07)

56.78% (

0.07)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.78% (

-0.32)

8.22% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.25% (

-0.82)

28.76% (

0.82)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.6% (

1.61)

42.4% (

-1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.22% (

1.35)

78.78% (

-1.35)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 73.13%

Crystal Palace 10.81%

Draw 16.05%

Arsenal	Draw	Crystal Palace
2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.12) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 73.13%	1-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.05%	1-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.27% Total : 10.81%