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Crystal Palace logo
Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Selhurst Park
Arsenal logo

Crystal Palace
3 - 0
Arsenal

Mateta (16'), Ayew (24'), Zaha (74' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Partey (53'), Xhaka (77')

Preview: Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two former Arsenal midfielders pit their wits against one another in the Selhurst Park dugouts on Monday night as Patrick Vieira's Crystal Palace welcome Mikel Arteta's Gunners for a Premier League London derby.

The Eagles managed to hold Manchester City to a goalless stalemate before the international break, while Arsenal's top-four charge gathered momentum with a 1-0 win at Aston Villa.


Match preview

Crystal Palace manager Patrick Vieira reacts on February 23, 2022© Reuters

One week on from being inducted into the Premier League's Hall of Fame for his endeavours as the driving force of Arsenal's midfield, Patrick Vieira will surely envisage no better way to celebrate the accolade than by getting one over his former club, and his current squad are no pushovers.

The Eagles boss will hope that the recent international break has not disrupted his side's momentum, as Palace strung a six-game unbeaten run together in all tournaments and advanced to the semi-finals of the FA Cup after putting four unanswered goals past Everton, with Chelsea now lying in wait at Wembley.

With Brighton & Hove Albion failing to get the better of Norwich City on Saturday, Palace remain 12th in the rankings at the time of writing, and top-half side Aston Villa are only two points ahead of them following their recent loss to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Keeping three clean sheets on the bounce in all competitions is just what the doctor ordered before Palace try to quell Arsenal's youthful attacking forces, but for all of their resilience in recent weeks, a record of two wins from their last 10 Premier League matches is still underwhelming.

Furthermore, the goalless draw with Man City stretched their winless run at Selhurst Park in the Premier League to five games since overcoming Norwich City on December 28, and Arsenal have been nothing if not ruthless on rival turf since the turn of the year.

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta on March 19, 2022© Reuters

Once again irking rival supporters and players with their joyous celebrations at Villa Park - Ashley Young in particular did not take kindly to those in yellow expressing their delight - Arsenal ground out another hard-fought but crucial victory to remain in the driving seat for a top-four finish.

Bukayo Saka's well-taken strike settled the contest before the half-time whistle blew - although Emiliano Martinez, to the amusement of Arsenal fans, possibly should have done better - and stand-in goalkeeper Bernd Leno was mobbed by his teammates after a vital save right at the death.

Having posted three wins from four in the month of March, Arteta's feats were recognised with his second manager of the month award, and while the Spaniard's side are clinging onto fourth spot at the time of writing, Tottenham Hotspur could temporarily usurp them with victory over Newcastle United on Sunday.

Arsenal's games in hand, of course, cannot be overlooked - although they face two daunting challenges with Chelsea and Manchester United before the end of the month - and their postponed North London derby with Antonio Conte's side is yet to be rescheduled.

Nevertheless, the Gunners have stuck to the task at hand admirably with six wins from their last seven in the Premier League, and they have also triumphed in each of their last five away from home in the top flight - not since 2013 have they enjoyed a longer streak on the road in the competition.

However, Arteta's men had to rely on a last-gasp Alexandre Lacazette equaliser to salvage a 2-2 draw against Palace at the Emirates - the fifth stalemate in the sides' last seven meetings - but Arsenal's young guns starred in a 3-1 Selhurst Park win last May.

Crystal Palace Premier League form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D

Crystal Palace form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Arsenal Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Aaron Ramsdale in action for Arsenal in March 2022© Reuters

Palace's chances of gleaning a result from this London derby have already taken a hit, with star attacking duo Michael Olise (foot) and Wilfried Zaha (thigh) not returning to training before Vieira's pre-match press conference on Thursday.

The Eagles boss has insisted that the duo could still make the cut here, and on a brighter note, Nathan Ferguson and James McArthur have both been training with the team and have strong chances of making the squad.

Olise and Zaha's fitness concerns ought to allow Eberechi Eze the chance to impress from the off against the Gunners, while Odsonne Edouard and Christian Benteke - the latter of whom is partial to a goal in this fixture - will fight to join Jean-Philippe Mateta in the lineup.

Arsenal did not come through the international break unscathed either, with Bukayo Saka testing positive for COVID-19, but the 20-year-old has now recovered and should be fine to feature from the off.

Arteta has also revealed that Takehiro Tomiyasu is closing in on a return from his latest calf problem, but Aaron Ramsdale is more of a doubt due to his hip injury, so Bernd Leno ought to enjoy another run-out in goal.

Emile Smith Rowe picked up a minor fitness concern while with England but was fit enough to come off the bench against Ivory Coast, although Gabriel Martinelli will eye an immediate recall to the XI after missing the Villa win due to illness.

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Guaita; Clyne, Andersen, Guehi, Mitchell; Gallagher, Kouyate, Hughes; Eze, Mateta, Edouard

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Leno; Cedric, White, Gabriel, Tierney; Xhaka, Partey; Saka, Odegaard, Martinelli; Lacazette


SM words green background

We say: Crystal Palace 1-2 Arsenal

Had Olise and Zaha not been nursing their fitness woes ahead of this game, Palace fans could be forgiven for expecting their side to take something from the derby, especially seeing how these two outfits love a stalemate.

Vieira's men still possess the attacking nous needed to breach a Ramsdale-less Arsenal backline, but Arteta's side will aim to pick up where they left off and have that winning formula away from home right now, so we can only back the Gunners to remain in control for fourth spot with a narrow victory.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Crystal Palace
19.6%
Draw
19.7%
Arsenal
60.7%
608
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13Bournemouth33119134860-1242
14Crystal Palace3399154256-1436
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