Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
4 - 1
Crystal Palace

Dunk (3'), Hinshelwood (33'), Buonanotte (34'), Pedro (85')
De Zerbi (7'), Welbeck (90+2')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Mateta (71')
Guehi (16'), Franca (59'), Munoz (62')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion pile the pressure on Roy Hodgson with a 4-1 drubbing of M23 derby rivals Crystal Palace in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Luton 4-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-2 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, January 30 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 72.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Crystal Palace
72.34% ( 0.88)	16.42% ( -0.29)	11.25% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 53.1% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.7% (

-0.28)

35.3% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.68% (

-0.31)

57.32% (

0.3)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.49% (

0.13)

8.51% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.51% (

0.31)

29.48% (

-0.31)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.04% (

-1.19)

41.95% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.6% (

-1.05)

78.39% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 72.33%

Crystal Palace 11.25%

Draw 16.42%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Crystal Palace
2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 7.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 72.33%	1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.42%	1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.33% Total : 11.25%