FA Cup
Aston Villa
Feb 7, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Diego Carlos 38' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 90'+1' goal
  • goal Conor Gallagher 11'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 21'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 54'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Djordje Petrovic 76'

Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Chelsea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 46.16% ▼ (-0.45)
Draw 22.59% ▲ (+0.37)
Chelsea 31.24% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.94% ▼ (-1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.41% ▼ (-1.80)
Under 2.5 35.59% ▲ (+1.80)
Over 3.5 42.35% ▼ (-2.02)
Under 3.5 57.65% ▲ (+2.02)
Over 4.5 24.06% ▼ (-1.70)
Under 4.5 75.94% ▲ (+1.69)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 84.07% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 0.5 15.93% ▲ (+0.85)
Over 1.5 54.81% ▼ (-1.58)
Under 1.5 45.19% ▲ (+1.58)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 77.24% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 0.5 22.75% ▲ (+0.84)
Over 1.5 43.56% ▼ (-1.25)
Under 1.5 56.44% ▲ (+1.25)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 46.16%
Draw 22.59%
Chelsea 31.24%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.41)
2-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 46.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.37)
2-2 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.32)
3-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.59%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.10)
0-1 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.35)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.24%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Chelsea
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Thiago Silva 9' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Luiz 12'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 46'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Chelsea
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Nicolas Jackson 50' yellowcard
  • Malo Gusto 58' redcard
  • Ben Chilwell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 44'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 73'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Chelsea
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • goal Ollie Watkins 18'
  • goal John McGinn 56'
Club Friendlies 1
Aston Villa
Dec 11, 2022 2.10pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Chelsea
  • John McGinn 7' goal
Premier League Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • goal Mason Mount 6'
  • goal Mason Mount 65'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Reece James 28' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 33' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 65' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jorginho 34'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 56'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 70'
  • goal Jorginho 90'+3'

Form Data

Sheff Utd 0 - 5 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle
Chelsea 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Everton 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3 - 2 Burnley
Chelsea 2 - 4 Wolves
Liverpool 4 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Chelsea 6 - 1 Middlesbrough
Chelsea 1 - 0 Fulham
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Chelsea

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