FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays

Feb 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 3
Chelsea

Diaby (90+1')
Carlos (38')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gallagher (11'), Jackson (21'), Fernandez (54')
Fernandez (55'), Petrovic (76')

Reaction

Chelsea's Enzo Fernandez celebrates scoring their third goal on February 6, 2024

Mauricio Pochettino 'not surprised' by Enzo Fernandez masterclass against Aston Villa

Chelsea head coach Mauricio Pochettino says that he was 'not surprised' by the level of performance of Enzo Fernandez during Wednesday's 3-1 victory over Aston Villa in the FA Cup.

Feb 8, 09:54

Chelsea manager Mauricio Pochettino reacts on February 7, 2024

Mauricio Pochettino: 'Chelsea players must strive for consistency after beating Aston Villa'

Head coach Mauricio Pochettino challenges his Chelsea players to add consistency to their game after they impressively defeated Aston Villa in the FA Cup fourth round.

Feb 7, 23:11

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-5 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chelsea

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Chelsea 2-4 Wolves
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Chelsea
46.16% ( -0.45)	22.59% ( 0.37)	31.24% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 64.94% (

-1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.41% (

-1.8)

35.59% (

1.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.35% (

-2.02)

57.65% (

2.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.07% (

-0.85)

15.93% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.81% (

-1.58)

45.19% (

1.57)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24% (

-0.83)

22.75% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.56% (

-1.25)

56.44% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 46.16%

Chelsea 31.24%

Draw 22.59%

Aston Villa	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.92% Total : 46.16%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.59%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.24%