Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Feb 3, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Bramall Lane

Sheff Utd
0 - 5
Aston Villa

Bogle (44')

FT(HT: 0-4)

McGinn (12'), Watkins (16'), Bailey (20'), Tielemans (30'), Moreno (47')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-2 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, January 30 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.46%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Sheffield United	Draw	Aston Villa
23.33% ( -1.09)	22.21% ( 0.48)	54.46% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 59.15% (

-3.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.86% (

-3.46)

40.14% (

3.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.49% (

-3.67)

62.51% (

3.67)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.36% (

-2.77)

30.64% (

2.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.12% (

-3.41)

66.88% (

3.41)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.28% (

-0.99)

14.72% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.08% (

-1.93)

42.92% (

1.94)

Score Analysis

Sheffield United 23.33%

Aston Villa 54.46%

Draw 22.21%

Sheffield United	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.88% Total : 23.33%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.69) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.21%	1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 1.05) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.74) 1-3 @ 6.25% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.38) 1-4 @ 3% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.25) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.46%