Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 27

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
2 - 2
Chelsea

Roerslev (50'), Wissa (69')
Janelt (57'), Onyeka (73'), Jorgensen (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jackson (35'), Disasi (83')
Gallagher (38')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: West Ham 4-2 Brentford
Monday, February 26 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Leeds
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Chelsea
31.9% ( 0.03)	23.1% ( -0.01)	44.99% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 63.39% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.23% (

0.04)

37.77% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.98% (

0.05)

60.02% (

-0.05)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

0.04)

23.43% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.57% (

0.06)

57.42% (

-0.06)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

0.01)

17.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.49% (

0.01)

47.51% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Brentford 31.9%

Chelsea 44.99%

Draw 23.09%

Brentford	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.9%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.09%	1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 4.13% Total : 44.99%