Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 3-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.