Europa League
Mar 14, 2024 5.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT London Stadium
  • Lucas Paqueta 9' goal
  • Jarrod Bowen 32' goal
  • Aaron Cresswell 52' goal
  • Aaron Cresswell 67' yellowcard
  • Edson Alvarez 73' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Kudus 77' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 85' goal

West Ham United vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 7, 2024 8.00pm
Freiburg 1 - 0 West Ham

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 7, 2024 8.00pm
Freiburg 1 - 0 West Ham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result

West Ham United 45.71% (-0.31)
Draw 24.33% (+0.09)
Freiburg 29.96% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.92% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.49% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 44.51% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 33.12% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 66.88% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 16.88% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 83.12% (+0.21)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5 80.39% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 19.61% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 48.45% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 51.55% (+0.41)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 72.05% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.95%
Over 1.5 36.42% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.58% (-0.01)

Score analysis

West Ham United 45.71%
Draw 24.33%
Freiburg 29.96%
West Ham United
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.93% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 45.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.48% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 7.25% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.99% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.45% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.08% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 29.96%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 7, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Kiliann Sildillia 40' yellowcard
  • Roland Sallai 50' yellowcard
  • Michael Gregoritsch 81' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Paqueta 58'
Europa League
Dec 14, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT London Stadium
  • Mohammed Kudus 14' goal
  • Edson Alvarez 42' goal
Europa League
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Nicolas Hofler 25' yellowcard
  • Roland Sallai 49' goal
  • goal Lucas Paqueta 8'
  • yellowcard Edson Alvarez 48'
  • goal Nayef Aguerd 66'