Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.