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West Ham logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
London Stadium
Freiburg logo

West Ham
5 - 0
Freiburg

Paqueta (9'), Bowen (32'), Cresswell (52'), Kudus (77', 85')
Cresswell (67'), Alvarez (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United advance into the quarter-finals of the Europa League after a five-goal demolition of Bundesliga side Freiburg at the London Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between West Ham United and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawFreiburg
45.71% (-0.306 -0.31) 24.33% (0.09 0.09) 29.96% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 57.92% (-0.176 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49% (-0.29 -0.29)44.51% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12% (-0.282 -0.28)66.88% (0.283 0.28)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.24499999999999 -0.24)19.61% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (-0.402 -0.4)51.55% (0.404 0.4)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.58% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 45.71%
    Freiburg 29.96%
    Draw 24.33%
West Ham UnitedDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 45.71%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.96%

How you voted: West Ham vs Freiburg

West Ham United
77.8%
Draw
13.3%
Freiburg
8.9%
180
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Freiburg
1-0
West Ham
Gregoritsch (81')
Sildillia (40'), Sallai (50')

Paqueta (58')
Dec 14, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
West Ham
2-0
Freiburg
Kudus (14'), Alvarez (42')
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Freiburg
1-2
West Ham
Sallai (49')
Hofler (25')
Paqueta (8'), Aguerd (66')
Alvarez (48')
rhs 2.0
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