Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.