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VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Freiburg logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 2
Freiburg

Ordets (62')
Bernardo (32'), Masovic (45+4'), Losilla (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eggestein (36'), Gregoritsch (53')
Hofler (34'), Eggestein (42'), Sallai (45+4'), Gulde (59'), Holer (74'), Gunter (83'), Kubler (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 West Ham
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Freiburg

Maintaining the eight-point gap which Bochum have on the bottom three may be tough for the hosts here, considering they have lost five in a row against Freiburg and have been leaking goals at an alarming rate recently. The visitors have been struggling for wins themselves of late, but two fine results over the past week should give them a huge lift, even if there may be one eye on the trip to London coming up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawFreiburg
38.15% (-1.691 -1.69) 23.95% (0.14 0.14) 37.9% (1.554 1.55)
Both teams to score 61.66% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.38% (-0.587 -0.59)40.62% (0.588 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)63% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (-1.065 -1.07)21.41% (1.066 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (-1.666 -1.67)54.41% (1.667 1.67)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (0.52300000000001 0.52)21.53% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.795 0.8)54.6% (-0.794 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 38.15%
    Freiburg 37.9%
    Draw 23.95%
VfL BochumDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38.15%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.61% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.215 0.22)
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.297 0.3)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.309 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.199 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.091 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.9%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Freiburg

VfL Bochum
34.2%
Draw
26.0%
Freiburg
39.7%
73
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Freiburg
2-1
VfL Bochum
Doan (26'), Grifo (45+2' pen.)
Gulde (23'), Grifo (29'), Eggestein (90+2')
Paciencia (15')
Antwi-Adjej (31'), Schlotterbeck (52'), Gamboa (63'), Riemann (65')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 26, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-0
VfL Bochum
Grifo (48')
Sallai (77'), Hofler (83')

Stafylidis (42'), Riemann (48'), Reis (78')
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
Freiburg
3-0
VfL Bochum
Kubler (5'), Sallai (16', 53')

Stafylidis (68'), Reis (70')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
VfL Bochum
1-2
Freiburg
Polter (64')
Polter (117')
Petersen (51'), Sallai (120')
Kubler (117')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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