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Bundesliga

Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Freiburg logo

Werder Bremen
3 - 1
Freiburg

Ducksch (9' pen.), Njinmah (53'), Malatini (90+3')
Stark (50'), Lynen (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grifo (28' pen.)
Streich (89'), Gregoritsch (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Bayern 0-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
34.08% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)24.27% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)41.64% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.92% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.66% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)65.06% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)24.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)58.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.63% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)53.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 34.08%
    Freiburg 41.64%
    Draw 24.27%
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 41.64%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Freiburg

Werder Bremen
41.4%
Draw
27.6%
Freiburg
31.0%
29
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-0
Werder Bremen
Philipp (90+6')
Kubler (38'), Hofler (45')

Schmid (6'), Friedl (55')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-2
Freiburg
Philipp (46')
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Freiburg
2-0
Werder Bremen
Kubler (56'), Grifo (80' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Werder Bremen
0-0
Freiburg
Hofler (83'), Heintz (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-1
Werder Bremen
Lienhart (16')
Hofler (27'), Santamaria (89'), Schmid (90+2')
Fullkrug (25' pen.)
Augustinsson (44'), Mbom (51'), Sargent (83')
> Preview