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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Freiburg logo

Wolfsburg
0 - 1
Freiburg


Arnold (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregoritsch (74')
Hofler (57'), Sallai (77'), Rohl (85'), Holer (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawFreiburg
44.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.2%31.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.07% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)43.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)65.69% (0.012 0.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)51.55% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)26.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)61.72% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 44.56%
    Freiburg 31.23%
    Draw 24.19%
WolfsburgDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.16%
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 44.56%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 31.23%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Freiburg

Wolfsburg
50.0%
Draw
15.4%
Freiburg
34.6%
26
Head to Head
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
2-0
Wolfsburg
Gunter (71'), Petersen (75')
Sallai (31')
Hofler (90+2')

Wind (39'), Wimmer (54'), Gerhardt (67')
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
6-0
Freiburg
Wimmer (1'), Wind (28', 37'), Gerhardt (56'), Baku (80'), Waldschmidt (90+4' pen.)
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
3-2
Wolfsburg
Grifo (7', 44'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Schlotterbeck (55'), Haberer (64')
Kruse (52'), Arnold (84')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Wolfsburg
0-2
Freiburg

Steffen (7'), Guilavogui (26'), Mbabu (71')
Lienhart (27'), Holer (68')
Jan 31, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
3-0
Freiburg
Brooks (21'), Weghorst (39'), Gerhardt (85')
rhs 2.0


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