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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 44.56% ( | 24.2% | 31.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.7% ( | 43.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.3% ( | 65.69% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( | 19.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.45% ( | 51.55% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( | 26.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( | 61.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 44.56% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.23% |