Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Lacroix (41')
Arnold (36'), Baku (45'), Maehle (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Frimpong (13'), Grimaldo (62')
Palacios (37'), Xhaka (55'), Adli (56'), Hofmann (74'), Tapsoba (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 FC Koln
Sunday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
33.46% ( 1.51)	25.03% ( 0.29)	41.52% ( -1.8)

Both teams to score 57.08% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.71% (

-0.83)

46.29% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.42% (

-0.79)

68.58% (

0.78)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

0.53)

26.6% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18% (

0.7)

61.82% (

-0.7)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76% (

-1.2)

22.24% (

1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.32% (

-1.83)

55.68% (

1.83)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 33.46%

Bayer Leverkusen 41.52%

Draw 25.02%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.52%