Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK

Aker Stadion

Molde
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Breivik (87')
Eriksen (42'), Fjortoft Lovik (67')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Frimpong (14'), Tella (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Molde and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Molde 4-0 Viking FK
Sunday, October 1 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Mainz 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Molde	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
46.23% ( 0.11)	22.73% ( 0.01)	31.03% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 64.31% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.63% (

-0.1)

36.36% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.5% (

-0.11)

58.5% (

0.1)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.8% (

16.2% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.31% (

0.01)

45.68% (

-0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74% (

-0.12)

23.25% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

-0.17)

57.17% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Molde 46.23%

Bayer Leverkusen 31.03%

Draw 22.73%

Molde	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.03%