Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 2-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Molde in this match.