Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rosenborg in this match.