Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.