Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
FK Haugesund	Draw	Lillestrom
28.57% ( -0.22)	24.69% ( 0.04)	46.74% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 55.8% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11% (

-0.31)

46.89% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.86% (

-0.29)

69.14% (

0.29)

FK Haugesund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87% (

-0.32)

30.13% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.72% (

-0.39)

66.28% (

0.38)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.87% (

-0.05)

20.13% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.6% (

-0.08)

52.4% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

FK Haugesund 28.57%

Lillestrom 46.74%

Draw 24.69%

FK Haugesund	Draw	Lillestrom
1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.57%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.74%