Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 12.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	Sandefjord
70.38% ( 0.04)	16.9% ( -0.03)	12.71% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.39% (

0.14)

33.6% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.58% (

0.16)

55.41% (

-0.16)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.48% (

0.04)

8.52% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.5% (

0.1)

29.49% (

-0.11)

Sandefjord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.56% (

0.08)

38.43% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.81% (

0.07)

75.18% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 70.38%

Sandefjord 12.71%

Draw 16.9%

Lillestrom	Draw	Sandefjord
2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 70.38%	1-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.9%	1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 12.71%