Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	Aalesund
62.51% ( -0.01)	20.11% ( 0)	17.37% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.57% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.05% (

-0.01)

38.94% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.73% (

-0.01)

61.26% (

0.01)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.07% (

-0)

11.93% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.71% (

-0.01)

37.29% (

0.01)

Aalesund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.23% (

-0)

35.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.46% (

-0)

72.53% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 62.51%

Aalesund 17.37%

Draw 20.11%

Lillestrom	Draw	Aalesund
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.64% 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.84% 4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 62.51%	1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.11%	1-2 @ 4.79% 0-1 @ 4.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.55% Total : 17.37%