Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 29

Nov 6, 2022 at 4pm UK

Aalesund
2 - 1
Lillestrom

Nenass (10'), Soyset Hopland (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Adams (23')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Aalesund and Lillestrom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aalesund

All competitions

Last Game: Kristiansund 4-0 Aalesund
Sunday, October 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Lillestrom

All competitions

Last Game: Lillestrom 0-2 Odd
Sunday, October 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aalesund in this match.

Result
Aalesund	Draw	Lillestrom
39.62% ( 0.15)	24.97% ( -0.04)	35.4% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 57.71% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

0.16)

45.66% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01% (

0.16)

67.98% (

-0.16)

Aalesund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1% (

0.15)

22.9% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.35% (

0.22)

56.65% (

-0.23)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

0.01)

25.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13% (

0.02)

59.87% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Aalesund 39.62%

Lillestrom 35.4%

Draw 24.96%

Aalesund	Draw	Lillestrom
2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.62%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96%	1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.4%