Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 74.17%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 10.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.