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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 23.72% ( | 21.97% | 54.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.43% ( | 38.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.14% ( | 60.86% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( | 29.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.55% ( | 65.45% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( | 14.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.03% ( | 41.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.11% ( 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 2-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 3-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 23.72% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-3 @ 5.18% ( 2-3 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.52% ( 2-4 @ 1.89% 1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.31% |