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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
16.02% ( 0.13) | 19.93% ( 0.1) | 64.04% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.35% ( -0.23) | 40.65% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.96% ( -0.23) | 63.04% ( 0.24) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.58% ( 0.02) | 38.42% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.83% ( 0.02) | 75.17% ( -0.02) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.98% ( -0.13) | 12.02% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.52% ( -0.28) | 37.48% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.02% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.93% | 0-2 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 7.32% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 64.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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