Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Mainz
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT OPEL ARENA
RB Leipzig
  • Anthony Caci 39' yellowcard
  • Lee Jae-sung 76' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 80' goal
  • Aymen Barkok 88' yellowcard
  • Sepp van den Berg 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Klostermann 51'

Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
VfL Bochum 2 - 2 Mainz
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
RB Leipzig 6 - 0 FC Koln
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Lois Openda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Mainz 05 16.02% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 19.93% ▲ (+0.11)
RB Leipzig 64.04% ▼ (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.18% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.35% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 40.65% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 36.96% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 63.04% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 19.75% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 80.25% ▲ (+0.19)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 61.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 38.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 75.17% ▼ (-0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 87.98% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 12.02% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 62.52% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 37.48% ▲ (+0.29)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 16.02%
Draw 19.93%
RB Leipzig 64.04%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 16.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.93%
RB Leipzig
0-2 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 7% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-5 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 64.04%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 26
RB Leipzig
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Mainz
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 9'
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 57'
  • goal Dominik Kohr 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Mainz
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 45' goal
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Mainz
  • Andre Silva 21' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 47' goal
  • Christopher Nkunku 58' goal
  • Andre Silva 61' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 16'
  • redcard Alexander Hack 19'
  • goal Lee Jae-sung 57'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Mainz
Aug 15, 2021 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Moussa Niakhate 13' goal
  • Paul Nebel 48' yellowcard
  • Bo Svensson 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 7'
  • yellowcard Marcel Sabitzer 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Mainz
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Moussa Niakhate 24' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 35' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 40' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 50' goal
  • Danny da Costa 75' yellowcard
  • goal Tyler Adams 15'
  • yellowcard Marcel Halstenberg 23'
  • goal Marcel Halstenberg 30'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 70'
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 88'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
RB Leipzig
Sep 20, 2020 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Mainz
  • Emil Forsberg 17' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 21' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 51' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean-Philippe Mateta 30'
  • goal Jean-Philippe Mateta 48'
  • yellowcard Danny Latza 58'

Form Data

Hertha Berlin 3 - 0 Mainz
VfL Bochum 2 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 3 Bayern
Borussia M'bach 2 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Augsburg 2 - 1 Mainz
Wolfsburg 1 - 0 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 6 - 0 FC Koln
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Red Star
Darmstadt 1 - 3 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 0 - 0 VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig 1 - 3 Man City