Bundesliga Gameweek 9
VfL Bochum
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Mainz
  • Kevin Stoger 21' goal
  • Bernardo 51' yellowcard
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 82' goal
  • Goncalo Paciencia 88' yellowcard
  • Anthony Losilla 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 15'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 20'
  • goal Keven Schlotterbeck 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 71'
  • goal Tom Krauss 90'+6'

VfL Bochum vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 1 VfL Bochum
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Kevin Stoger

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
Mainz 1 - 3 Bayern
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.16%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

VfL Bochum 37.24% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 22.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Mainz 05 39.85% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.67% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.59% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 35.41% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 42.55% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 57.45% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 24.23% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 4.5 75.77% ▼ (-0.16)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 80.45% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 19.55% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 48.54% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 51.46% ▼ (-0.20)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 81.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 18.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 50.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 49.5% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

VfL Bochum 37.24%
Draw 22.91%
Mainz 05 39.85%
VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 37.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.91%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 39.85%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Mainz
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
5
2
HT : 3 0
FT
VfL Bochum
  • Lee Jae-sung 1' goal
  • Silvan Widmer 17' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 28' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 57' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 87' goal
  • goal Pierre Kunde 70'
  • goal Erhan Masovic 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
VfL Bochum
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Mainz
  • Kostas Stafylidis 13' yellowcard
  • Kevin Stoger 39' goal
  • Silvere Ganvoula 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 26'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 33'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 64'
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 77'
  • yellowcard Delano Burgzorg 84'
DFB-Pokal
VfL Bochum
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Mainz
  • Milos Pantovic 56' goal
  • Milos Pantovic 59' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 80' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 14'
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 36'
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 55'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 65'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 75'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Mainz
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
VfL Bochum
  • Jeremiah St Juste 48' goal
  • Anton Stach 55' yellowcard
  • Kevin Stoger 85' yellowcard
  • Paul Nebel 86' yellowcard
  • Bo Svensson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Armel Bella-Kotchap 70'
  • yellowcard Cristian Gamboa 76'
  • yellowcard Elvis Rexhbecaj 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
VfL Bochum
Aug 21, 2021 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Mainz
  • Gerrit Holtmann 21' goal
  • Elvis Rexhbecaj 54' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Polter 56' goal
  • Manuel Riemann 87' yellowcard
  • Takuma Asano 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Simon Zoller 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean-Paul Boetius 56'
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 67'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 89'
DFB-Pokal
Mainz
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
ET OPEL ARENA
VfL Bochum
  • Jean-Paul Boetius 7' goal
  • Danny Latza 55' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Dong-Won Ji 100' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Gamboa 2'
  • yellowcard Maxim Leitsch 32'
  • goal Gerrit Holtmann 66'
  • yellowcard Danny Blum 75'
  • goal Robert Tesche 90'+4'
  • redcard Manuel Riemann 95'

Form Data

Freiburg 2 - 1 VfL Bochum
RB Leipzig 0 - 0 VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum 1 - 3 Borussia M'bach
Bayern 7 - 0 VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Augsburg 2 - 2 VfL Bochum
Mainz 1 - 3 Bayern
Borussia M'bach 2 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 3 B. Leverkusen
Augsburg 2 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 3 Stuttgart
Werder Bremen 4 - 0 Mainz