Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.12%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.