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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Mainz logo

Borussia M'bach
2 - 2
Mainz

Neuhaus (22'), Scally (88')
Itakura (56'), Kone (81'), Hack (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gruda (24'), Barkok (75')
Bell (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
31.82% (-0.571 -0.57)23.26% (-0.195 -0.2)44.92% (0.763 0.76)
Both teams to score 62.76% (0.444 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (0.694 0.69)38.57% (-0.696 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.13% (0.731 0.73)60.87% (-0.733 -0.73)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)23.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)58.05% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43% (0.583 0.58)17.56% (-0.586 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.89% (1.006 1.01)48.11% (-1.007 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 31.82%
    Mainz 05 44.92%
    Draw 23.25%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.01% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.034 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.27% (0.126 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.088 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.097 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.07 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 44.92%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Mainz

Borussia Monchengladbach
78.8%
Draw
13.1%
Mainz 05
8.1%
99
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mainz
4-0
Borussia M'bach
Jae-sung (25'), Ingvartsen (49'), Ajorque (72'), Weiper (90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 4.30pm
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 28
Borussia M'bach
1-1
Mainz
Embolo (33')
Embolo (10'), Ginter (28')
Onisiwo (73')
Barreiro (40')
Nov 5, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Mainz
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Widmer (76')
Jae-sung (31'), Bell (45'), Boetius (53')
Neuhaus (38')
Elvedi (22'), Kone (64'), Bensebaini (70')
Feb 20, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Mainz
Stindl (26')
Kramer (14')
Onisiwo (10'), Stoger (86')
Kohr (61')
rhs 2.0


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