Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Mainz
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Mewa Arena
Stuttgart
  • Anthony Caci 11' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 69' goal
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 56'
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 60'
  • yellowcard Waldemar Anton 67'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 84'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 90'+7'

Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 4 - 0 Mainz
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Stuttgart 5 - 0 Freiburg
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result

Mainz 05 32.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 25.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Stuttgart 42.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.69% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 15.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.57% ▼ (-0.02)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 72.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 37.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.87% ▼ (-0.04)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5 78.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 44.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.18% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 32.43%
Draw 25.04%
Stuttgart 42.53%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.04%
Stuttgart
0-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.53%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 33
Mainz
May 21, 2023 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
Stuttgart
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 23' goal
  • goal Wataru Endo 41'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 64'
  • goal Chris Fuhrich 78'
  • goal Tanguy Coulibaly 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Mainz
  • Serhou Guirassy 36' goal
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 40'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Mainz
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Stuttgart
  • yellowcard Pellegrino Matarazzo 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Pascal Stenzel 70'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Stuttgart
Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Mainz
  • Hiroki Ito 21' goal
  • Orel Mangala 36' yellowcard
  • Borna Sosa 51' goal
  • Borna Sosa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Caricol 9'
  • goal Alexander Hack 39'
  • yellowcard Jean-Paul Boetius 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Stuttgart
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Mainz
  • Philipp Forster 33' yellowcard
  • Sasa Kalajdzic 55' goal
  • Silla Wamangituka 72' goal
  • yellowcard Moussa Niakhate 21'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 43'
  • yellowcard Karim Onisiwo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Bo Svensson 54'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Mainz
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT OPEL ARENA
Stuttgart
  • Robin Quaison 13' goal
  • Moussa Niakhate 37' yellowcard
  • Moussa Niakhate 77' redcard
  • goal Silla Wamangituka 45'
  • yellowcard Pascal Stenzel 52'
  • goal Daniel Didavi 61'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 69'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Castro 74'
  • goal Mateo Klimowicz 80'
  • goal Sasa Kalajdzic 86'
  • redcard Pascal Stenzel 90'+1'

Form Data

Werder Bremen 4 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Union Berlin 4 - 1 Mainz
Elversberg 0 - 1 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 0 Burnley
Dortmund 2 - 2 Mainz
Stuttgart 5 - 0 Freiburg
RB Leipzig 5 - 1 Stuttgart
Stuttgart 5 - 0 VfL Bochum
Balingen 0 - 4 Stuttgart
Sheff Utd 0 - 3 Stuttgart
Hamburger SV 1 - 3 Stuttgart