Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.