DFB-Pokal
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
  • Fabian Reese 45'+3' goal
  • Fabian Reese 45'+3' goal
  • Haris Tabakovic 50' goal
  • Haris Tabakovic 50' goal
  • Haris Tabakovic 61' goal
  • Haris Tabakovic 61' goal
  • Deyovaisio Zeefuik 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ludovic Ajorque 90'+3'

Hertha Berlin vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Mainz 05

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.

Result

Hertha Berlin 33.38% (+0.52)
Draw 23.4% (+0.12)
Mainz 05 43.21% (-0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.91% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.34% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 38.65% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 39.04% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 60.96% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 21.37% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 78.62% (+0.33)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 76.98% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 23.01% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 43.18% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 56.81% (-0.17)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 81.71% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 18.29% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 50.64% (-0.73)
Under 1.5 49.35% (+0.72)

Score analysis

Hertha Berlin 33.38%
Draw 23.39%
Mainz 05 43.21%
Hertha Berlin
2-1 @ 7.72% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 6.18% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 4.54% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.78% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.39% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.39%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.15% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 5.05% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.46% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 43.21%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jessic Ngankam 18' goal
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 57'
Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2022 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Anthony Caci 90'+4' goal
  • goal Lucas Tousart 30'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Davie Selke 45'+5' goal
  • Marton Dardai 56' yellowcard
  • Vladimir Darida 80' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacibar 88' yellowcard
  • goal Silvan Widmer 25'
  • yellowcard Bo Svensson 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Aaron Caricol 65'
  • goal Stefan Bell 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lee Jae-sung 19' goal
  • Alexander Hack 41' goal
  • Silvan Widmer 49' goal
  • Jean-Paul Boetius 79' goal
  • yellowcard Suat Serdar 36'
  • yellowcard Niklas Stark 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
May 3, 2021 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Stefan Bell 18' yellowcard
  • Phillipp Mwene 40' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 72' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Tousart 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 39'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 67'
  • yellowcard Santiago Ascacibar 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Krzysztof Piatek 33' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 49' yellowcard
  • Jordan Torunarigha 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Stoger 28'