2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 24, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Hertha Berlin logo

Holstein Kiel
2 - 3
Hertha Berlin

Pichler (54'), Skrzybski (57' pen.)
Rapp (12'), Schulz (14'), Holtby (90+1'), Becker (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Prevljak (27'), Bouchalakis (39'), Reese (90+2' pen.)
Dardai (11'), Karbownik (64'), Dardai (90+7')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Hertha Berlin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 5-1 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 3-0 Braunschweig
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawHertha Berlin
39.84% (0.188 0.19)23.22% (0.081 0.08)36.95% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Both teams to score 64.45% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.01% (-0.438 -0.44)36.99% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.83% (-0.476 -0.48)59.17% (0.476 0.48)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95% (-0.105 -0.11)19.05% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.37% (-0.173 -0.17)50.63% (0.173 0.17)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (-0.324 -0.32)20.39% (0.325 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.19% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)52.81% (0.516 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 39.84%
    Hertha Berlin 36.95%
    Draw 23.22%
Holstein KielDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.041 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 5.34% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 36.95%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin

Holstein Kiel
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Hertha Berlin
20.0%
5