2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
5 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Metcalfe (4'), Smith (7'), Afolayan (38'), Ritzka (69'), Hartel (90+3')
Hurzeler (0'), Smith (27'), Burchert (45+2'), Saad (49')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Holtby (50')
Porath (16'), Holtby (47'), Rothe (73')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Braunschweig 1-1 St Pauli
Friday, September 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-1 SC Paderborn
Saturday, September 2 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
41.21% (-0.815 -0.81)25.2% (0.074999999999999 0.07)33.59% (0.737 0.74)
Both teams to score 56.52% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.144 -0.14)47.04% (0.141 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.133 -0.13)69.28% (0.13 0.13)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)22.71% (0.455 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (-0.68 -0.68)56.38% (0.678 0.68)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (0.386 0.39)26.87% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (0.505 0.5)62.19% (-0.508 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 41.21%
    Holstein Kiel 33.59%
    Draw 25.19%
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.21%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.088 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.59%

Head to Head
May 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Holstein Kiel
3-4
St Pauli
Skrzybski (28' pen.), Komenda (78'), Reese (90+3')
Becker (45+2'), Rapp (46'), Bartels (65'), Pichler (90+5'), Wahl (90+9')
Afolayan (39'), Wahl (53' og.), Daschner (61'), Paqarada (74')
Hurzeler (0'), Afolayan (77')
Afolayan (87')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
St Pauli
0-0
Holstein Kiel
Dec 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Holstein Kiel
3-0
St Pauli
Bartels (8'), Porath (29'), Pichler (45+1')
Thesker (56'), Arp (90')

Ziereis (56'), Paqarada (80'), Dittgen (86'), Ole Becker (90+1')
Jul 25, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
St Pauli
3-0
Holstein Kiel
Paqarada (11'), Kyereh (62'), Burgstaller (90+1')

Muhling (39')
May 7, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Holstein Kiel
4-0
St Pauli
Arslan (22'), Bartels (24', 49'), Serra (67')
Arslan (13'), Lorenz (55')