DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion an der Dusternortstrasse

Atlas Delmenhorst
0 - 5
St Pauli


Kerem Sari (38'), Touray (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (24'), Schobert (58' og.), Saad (68'), Hartel (70' pen.), Afolayan (88')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Atlas Delmenhorst and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas Delmenhorst

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Last Game: Atlas Delmenhorst 1-6 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 10 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
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St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 Dusseldorf
Saturday, August 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 93.72%. A draw had a probability of 4.6% and a win for Atlas Delmenhorst had a probability of 1.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-4 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.94%) and 0-5 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.12%), while for an Atlas Delmenhorst win it was 2-1 (0.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
Atlas DelmenhorstDrawSt Pauli
1.69% (0.063 0.06)4.59% (0.178 0.18)93.72% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Both teams to score 41.48% (-0.366 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
84.47% (-0.717 -0.72)15.53% (0.719 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
68.56% (-1.125 -1.13)31.44% (1.126 1.13)
Atlas Delmenhorst Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.16% (-0.325 -0.32)57.84% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.49% (-0.182 -0.18)89.5% (0.18100000000001 0.18)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.38% (-0.104 -0.1)1.62% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
91.7% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)8.3% (0.432 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Atlas Delmenhorst 1.69%
    St Pauli 93.71%
    Draw 4.59%
Atlas DelmenhorstDrawSt Pauli
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 1.69%
1-1 @ 2.12% (0.094 0.09)
2-2 @ 1.19% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 0.94% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 4.59%
0-4 @ 11.27% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 10.94% (0.26 0.26)
0-5 @ 9.3% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.311 0.31)
0-6 @ 6.39% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-4 @ 6.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.082 0.08)
1-5 @ 5.09% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.21 0.21)
0-7 @ 3.76% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-6 @ 3.5% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-7 @ 2.06% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-8 @ 1.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.39% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-8 @ 1.06% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-6 @ 0.96% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 93.71%