DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion an der Dusternortstrasse
Atlas Delmenhorst0 - 5St Pauli
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Atlas Delmenhorst and St Pauli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atlas Delmenhorst 1-6 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 10 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Saturday, August 10 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 Dusseldorf
Saturday, August 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Saturday, August 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 93.72%. A draw had a probability of 4.6% and a win for Atlas Delmenhorst had a probability of 1.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-4 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.94%) and 0-5 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.12%), while for an Atlas Delmenhorst win it was 2-1 (0.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlas Delmenhorst | Draw | St Pauli |
1.69% ( 0.06) | 4.59% ( 0.18) | 93.72% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 41.48% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
