Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Magdeburg
44.27% ( 0.2)	23.01% ( 0.06)	32.72% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 64.09% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.99% (

-0.4)

37.01% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.81% (

-0.43)

59.19% (

0.43)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.8% (

-0.08)

17.2% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.52% (

-0.14)

47.48% (

0.14)

Magdeburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.4% (

-0.33)

22.6% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.79% (

-0.5)

56.21% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 44.27%

Magdeburg 32.72%

Draw 23.01%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Magdeburg
2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.17% Total : 44.27%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 32.72%