DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Continental Arena

Jahn
1 - 2
Magdeburg

Kother (63')
Geipl (45+4'), Faber (53'), Huth (76'), Hottmann (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schuler (16'), Hugonet (59')
Hoti (8'), Atik (45+4'), Hugonet (55'), Heber (66'), Schuler (83')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Jahn Regensburg and Magdeburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jahn Regensburg

All competitions
Last Game: Jahn 2-3 Heidenheim
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Magdeburg

All competitions
Last Game: Magdeburg 2-1 Braunschweig
Sunday, August 6 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Jahn RegensburgDrawMagdeburg
39.12% (0.536 0.54)23.74% (0.152 0.15)37.14% (-0.69 -0.69)
Both teams to score 62.45% (-0.625 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.41% (-0.797 -0.8)39.58% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.06% (-0.834 -0.83)61.93% (0.831 0.83)
Jahn Regensburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)20.49% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02% (-0.147 -0.15)52.97% (0.14599999999999 0.15)
Magdeburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (-0.694 -0.69)21.45% (0.692 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53% (-1.077 -1.08)54.47% (1.074 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Jahn Regensburg 39.12%
    Magdeburg 37.14%
    Draw 23.73%
Jahn RegensburgDrawMagdeburg
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.236 0.24)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 39.12%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.161 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 37.14%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Jahn
2-2
Magdeburg
Gnaka (52' og.), Caliskaner (90')
Atik (10'), Elfadli (80')
Oct 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Magdeburg
1-0
Jahn
Schuler (68')
Apr 21, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 30
Jahn
1-0
Magdeburg
Gruttner (20')
Adamyan (57'), Saller (90'), Nachreiner (90')
Nov 11, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Magdeburg
2-3
Jahn
Beck (4', 67')
Gruttner (3'), Correia (80'), Al Ghaddioui (90')
Fein (43'), Geipl (63')