DFB-Pokal | First Round

Aug 12, 2023 at 12pm UK

Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld

Carl Zeiss
0 - 5
Hertha Berlin

Hehne (14'), Lammel (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dardai (6'), Tabakovic (47'), Richter (49', 52'), Uremovic (59')
Gechter (75')

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Carl Zeiss Jena and Hertha Berlin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carl Zeiss Jena

Last Game: Carl Zeiss 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, July 30 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 Wiesbaden
Friday, August 4 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Carl Zeiss Jena win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.

Result
Carl Zeiss Jena	Draw	Hertha Berlin
27.55% ( 0.02)	24.63% ( 0.02)	47.82% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.26% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.75% (

-0.09)

47.25% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.53% (

-0.08)

69.48% (

0.08)

Carl Zeiss Jena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.93% (

-0.03)

31.08% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.61% (

-0.03)

67.39% (

0.03)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.18% (

-0.05)

19.82% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.1% (

-0.09)

51.9% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Carl Zeiss Jena 27.55%

Hertha Berlin 47.82%

Draw 24.63%

Carl Zeiss Jena	Draw	Hertha Berlin
1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.55%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 47.82%