2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 12pm UK
MDCC-Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Magdeburg
6 - 4
Hertha Berlin

Gnaka (7'), Schuler (37'), Ceka (49'), Bell Bell (58'), El Hankouri (68'), Arslan (90+3')
Heber (14'), Atik (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Reese (2'), Winkler (22'), Tabakovic (42', 55')
Leistner (8'), Winkler (20'), Dardai (35')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Magdeburg and Hertha Berlin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 Magdeburg
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.

Result
MagdeburgDrawHertha Berlin
49.55% (-0.708 -0.71)22.57% (0.13 0.13)27.88% (0.582 0.58)
Both teams to score 62.69% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.42% (-0.168 -0.17)37.58% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19% (-0.181 -0.18)59.81% (0.185 0.19)
Magdeburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (-0.30499999999999 -0.3)15.47% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.67% (-0.576 -0.58)44.33% (0.58 0.58)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16% (0.313 0.31)25.84% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19% (0.419 0.42)60.81% (-0.415 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Magdeburg 49.55%
    Hertha Berlin 27.88%
    Draw 22.56%
MagdeburgDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.55%
1-1 @ 10.09% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.103 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 27.88%