Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.