Hertha Berlin logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin

Hertha Berlin
1 - 2
St Pauli

Scherhant (83')
Orsoe Christensen (56'), Dardai (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eggestein (25'), Hartel (74')
Hurzeler (0')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-3 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

St Pauli

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 3-1 Schalke
Saturday, September 23 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawSt Pauli
25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)52.42% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53% (0.0040000000000049 0)62.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)65.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (0.0049999999999955 0)15.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.19% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 25%
    St Pauli 52.42%
    Draw 22.57%
Hertha BerlinDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 25%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-1 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 7.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.72%
1-4 @ 2.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.3%
2-4 @ 1.74%
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 52.42%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs St Pauli

Hertha Berlin
58.3%
Draw
8.3%
St Pauli
33.3%
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