2.Bundesliga Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
  • Gustav Orsoe Christensen 56' yellowcard
  • Bence Dardai 79' yellowcard
  • Derry Scherhant 83' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 0'
  • goal Johannes Eggestein 25'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 74'

Hertha Berlin vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 12.30pm
Holstein Kiel 2 - 3 Hertha Berlin
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Haris Tabakovic

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 7.30pm
St Pauli 3 - 1 Schalke
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result

Hertha Berlin 25% (-0.01)
Draw 22.58% (-0.01)
St Pauli 52.42% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.85% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.89% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 40.11% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 37.53% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 62.48% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 20.19% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.81%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 70.74% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.26% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.78% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.22% (+0.01)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 84.61% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 15.39% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 55.81% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 44.19% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Hertha Berlin 25%
Draw 22.57%
St Pauli 52.42%
Hertha Berlin
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.57%
St Pauli
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-1 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 7.89% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.05% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72%
1-4 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.3%
2-4 @ 1.74%
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 52.42%