2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 23, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Schalke

St Pauli
3 - 1
Schalke

Hartel (21' pen., 57'), Boukhalfa (90+2')
Metcalfe (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Polter (29')
Brunner (45+2'), Kaminski (45+1'), Schallenberg (77'), Polter (82')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Schalke 04.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 5-1 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Schalke 04

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 4-3 Magdeburg
Saturday, September 16 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawSchalke 04
50.21% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)24.17% (-0.023 -0.02)25.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.05% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.124 0.12)46.75% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.117 0.12)69.01% (-0.119 -0.12)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (0.042000000000002 0.04)18.66% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (0.073 0.07)49.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (0.093000000000004 0.09)32.33% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.105 0.11)68.83% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 50.2%
    Schalke 04 25.62%
    Draw 24.17%
St PauliDrawSchalke 04
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 50.2%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 25.62%

Head to Head
May 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Schalke
3-2
St Pauli
Terodde (47' pen., 71'), Zalazar (78')
Latza (41'), Vindheim (51'), Idrizi (90+6')
Matanovic (9', 17')
Aremu (15'), Medic (46'), Kyereh (65'), Matanovic (90')
Beifus (81'), Matanovic (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
St Pauli
2-1
Schalke
Burgstaller (20', 39')
Kyereh (2')
Zalazar (75')
Thiaw (26'), Zalazar (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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