Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.89%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04	Draw	Magdeburg
44.73% ( 0.32)	22.98% ( -0.02)	32.29% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 64.01% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.97% (

37.03% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.78% (

59.22% (

-0.01)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97% (

0.12)

17.03% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.82% (

0.22)

47.18% (

-0.22)

Magdeburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

-0.16)

22.85% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42% (

-0.24)

56.58% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Schalke 04 44.73%

Magdeburg 32.29%

Draw 22.97%

Schalke 04	Draw	Magdeburg
2-1 @ 9% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.23% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.29%