MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 02:19:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Wolfsburg

Borussia M'bach
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Cvancara (16'), Reitz (42'), Honorat (64'), Plea (71')
Elvedi (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Arnold (33'), Vranckx (69'), Cozza (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-2 Wolfsburg

Four of the last seven meetings between these sides have ended in draws, with Gladbach winning the other three games, while both sides had to settle on sharing the spoils last weekend. As such, we would not be surprised to see another draw play out on Friday night, but it should be an entertaining one given that these teams have been much more proficient at attacking than defending in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
44.69% (0.691 0.69) 22.57% (-0.167 -0.17) 32.74% (-0.524 -0.52)
Both teams to score 65.79% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21% (0.643 0.64)34.78% (-0.643 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25% (0.715 0.71)56.75% (-0.715 -0.72)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (0.51700000000001 0.52)16.16% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.38% (0.934 0.93)45.61% (-0.934 -0.93)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (0.022000000000006 0.02)21.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.032000000000004 0.03)54.59% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 44.69%
    Wolfsburg 32.74%
    Draw 22.57%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.34% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.059 0.06)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 44.69%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Wolfsburg

Borussia Monchengladbach
53.2%
Draw
32.3%
Wolfsburg
14.5%
62
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsburg
2-2
Borussia M'bach
Gerhardt (43'), Marmoush (69')
Thuram (13', 48')
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Borussia M'bach
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thuram (42'), Embolo (82')
Sommer (34'), Beyer (65')
Wind (6'), Bornauw (33')
Philipp (37'), Baku (37'), Casteels (76'), Gerhardt (90+3')
Lacroix (70')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Wolfsburg
1-3
Borussia M'bach
Waldschmidt (25')
Bornauw (4'), Baku (10'), Mbabu (59'), Lacroix (67'), Weghorst (81'), Roussillon (90+3')
Lacroix (76')
Embolo (5'), Hofmann (7'), Scally (90+5')
Stindl (35'), Zakaria (36'), Beyer (71')
Feb 14, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 21
Wolfsburg
0-0
Borussia M'bach
Brooks (11')
Bensebaini (7'), Plea (79'), Embolo (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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