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Bundesliga

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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Wolfsburg

Borussia M'bach
4 - 0
Wolfsburg

Cvancara (16'), Reitz (42'), Honorat (64'), Plea (71')
Elvedi (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Arnold (33'), Vranckx (69'), Cozza (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
44.69% (0.691 0.69)22.57% (-0.167 -0.17)32.74% (-0.524 -0.52)
Both teams to score 65.79% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21% (0.643 0.64)34.78% (-0.643 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25% (0.715 0.71)56.75% (-0.715 -0.72)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (0.51700000000001 0.52)16.16% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.38% (0.934 0.93)45.61% (-0.934 -0.93)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (0.022000000000006 0.02)21.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.032000000000004 0.03)54.59% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 44.69%
    Wolfsburg 32.74%
    Draw 22.57%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.34% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.059 0.06)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 44.69%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.1% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Wolfsburg

Borussia Monchengladbach
53.2%
Draw
32.3%
Wolfsburg
14.5%
62
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