Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.