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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
57.88% ( 0.4) | 21.2% ( -0.01) | 20.92% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 59.25% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.54% ( -0.48) | 38.45% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.25% ( -0.51) | 60.74% ( 0.5) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.9% ( -0.04) | 13.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.29% ( -0.07) | 39.71% ( 0.07) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.17% ( -0.63) | 31.83% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.73% ( -0.73) | 68.26% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.4% 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 57.88% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 20.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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