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Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 22, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Augsburg logo

Heidenheim
2 - 5
Augsburg

Kleindienst (17'), Beste (18')
Kleindienst (31'), Beck (51'), Siersleben (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Tietz (29'), Pedersen (41'), Demirovic (42'), Uduokhai (64'), Rexhbecaj (88' pen.)
Pedersen (45+2'), Bauer (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, October 8 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
HeidenheimDrawAugsburg
57.88% (0.401 0.4)21.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)20.92% (-0.392 -0.39)
Both teams to score 59.25% (-0.573 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.54% (-0.477 -0.48)38.45% (0.473 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.25% (-0.505 -0.51)60.74% (0.502 0.5)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.9% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)13.09% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.29% (-0.07 -0.07)39.71% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-0.633 -0.63)31.83% (0.629 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-0.729 -0.73)68.26% (0.726 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 57.88%
    Augsburg 20.92%
    Draw 21.2%
HeidenheimDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.171 0.17)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.4%
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 57.88%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.2%
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 20.92%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Augsburg

Heidenheim
72.7%
Draw
20.5%
Augsburg
6.8%
44