Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 7, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadion Rajko Mitic

Red Star
1 - 2
RB Leipzig

Henrichs (81' og.)
Mijailovic (6'), Krasso (28'), Ivanic (52'), Lucic (73'), Olayinka (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Simons (8'), Openda (77')
Simakan (49'), Lukeba (56'), Henrichs (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Red Star Belgrade and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
Red Star Belgrade	Draw	RB Leipzig
39.8% ( 1.45)	22.65% ( -0.55)	37.54% ( -0.89)

Both teams to score 66.71% (

2.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.92% (

2.8)

34.07% (

-2.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.05% (

3.1)

55.94% (

-3.1)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.17% (

1.84)

17.82% (

-1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.43% (

3.09)

48.56% (

-3.09)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18% (

0.81)

18.82% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.75% (

1.34)

50.25% (

-1.34)

Score Analysis

Red Star Belgrade 39.8%

RB Leipzig 37.54%

Draw 22.65%

Red Star Belgrade	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 4% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.05% Total : 39.8%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.51) 3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.54%