Champions League
Nov 7, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Rajko Mitic
  • Srdan Mijailovic 6' yellowcard
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 28' yellowcard
  • Mirko Ivanic 52' yellowcard
  • Vladimir Lucic 73' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Henrichs 81' goal
  • Peter Olayinka 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Xavi Simons 8'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Simakan 49'
  • yellowcard Castello Lukeba 56'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 59'
  • goal Lois Openda 77'

Red Star Belgrade vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2023 8.00pm
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Red Star

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2023 8.00pm
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Red Star

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result

Red Star Belgrade 39.8% (+1.45)
Draw 22.65% (-0.56)
RB Leipzig 37.54% (-0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.71% (+2.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.92% (+2.80)
Under 2.5 34.07% (-2.80)
Over 3.5 44.05% (+3.10)
Under 3.5 55.94% (-3.10)
Over 4.5 25.48% (+2.58)
Under 4.5 74.51% (-2.58)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5 82.17% (+1.85)
Under 0.5 17.82% (-1.85)
Over 1.5 51.43% (+3.09)
Under 1.5 48.56% (-3.09)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 81.18% (+0.82)
Under 0.5 18.82% (-0.82)
Over 1.5 49.75% (+1.34)
Under 1.5 50.25% (-1.35)

Score analysis

Red Star Belgrade 39.8%
Draw 22.65%
RB Leipzig 37.54%
Red Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 8.33% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.50)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.79% (+0.29)
3-2 @ 4% (+0.34)
3-0 @ 2.87% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.07% (+0.24)
4-2 @ 1.73% (+0.24)
4-0 @ 1.24% (+0.12)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 39.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.56)
2-2 @ 6.96% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 3.35% (-0.51)
3-3 @ 2.23% (+0.24)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.65%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.26)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.69)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.44)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.88% (+0.21)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.18)
1-4 @ 1.88% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.62% (+0.13)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 37.54%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 25, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • David Raum 12' goal
  • Benjamin Henrichs 28' yellowcard
  • Xavi Simons 59' goal
  • Dani Olmo 84' goal
  • yellowcard Marko Stamenic 34'
  • yellowcard Hwang In-beom 46'
  • yellowcard Milan Rodic 45'+3'
  • goal Marko Stamenic 70'
  • yellowcard Nasser Djiga 71'