Europa League
Nov 9, 2023 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Merlin Rohl 24' goal
  • Philipp Lienhart 39' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Eggestein 56' goal
  • Noah Weisshaupt 69' goal
  • Chukwubuike Adamu 80' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jovan Vlalukin 29'

Freiburg vs Backa Topola - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Backa Topola 1 - 3 Freiburg

Backa Topola

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Backa Topola 1 - 3 Freiburg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result

Freiburg 54.94% (-0.02)
Draw 22.34% (+0.01)
Backa Topola 22.72% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.89% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.56% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 41.44% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 36.16% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 63.84% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 19.14% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.86% (+0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 84.99% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.01% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 56.52% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 43.48% (+0.02)

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5 68.12% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.88% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.68% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.32% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Freiburg 54.94%
Draw 22.33%
Backa Topola 22.72%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.84%
1-0 @ 9.08% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 54.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 4.79% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.33%
Backa Topola
1-2 @ 5.93% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 22.72%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Gradski stadion
  • Nemanja Petrovic 13' goal
  • Milos Cvetkovic 60' yellowcard
  • Jovan Vlalukin 88' yellowcard
  • Josip Calusic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 49'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 59'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 73'
  • yellowcard Philipp Lienhart 88'