Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
5 - 0
Backa Topola

Rohl (24'), Eggestein (56'), Weisshaupt (69'), Adamu (80'), Doan (90+2')
Lienhart (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vlalukin (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and Backa Topola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Backa Topola

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Backa Topola 1-3 Freiburg
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Backa Topola
54.94% ( -0.01)	22.34% ( 0)	22.72% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.89% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.56% (

-0.01)

41.44% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.16% (

-0.01)

63.84% (

0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99% (

-0.01)

15.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52% (

-0.01)

43.48% (

0.01)

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12% (

-0)

31.88% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.68% (

68.32% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 54.94%

Backa Topola 22.72%

Draw 22.33%

Freiburg	Draw	Backa Topola
2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 54.94%	1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.33%	1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.72%