Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Gradski stadion
Olympiacos

Backa Topola
2 - 2
Olympiacos

Dakovac (63'), Pantovic (90')
Petrovic (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Masouras (16'), Podence (57')
Paschalakis (85')
Ntoi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Backa Topola and Olympiacos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Backa Topola
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
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Last Game: PAS Giannina 0-3 Olympiacos
Sunday, October 1 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Backa TopolaDrawOlympiacos
29.97% (-0.041 -0.04)27.05% (-0.026 -0.03)42.98% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.24% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21% (0.088999999999999 0.09)55.79% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08% (0.072999999999997 0.07)76.92% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Backa Topola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.016999999999996 0.02)33.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)70.38% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.078999999999994 0.08)25.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (0.105 0.1)60.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Backa Topola 29.97%
    Olympiacos 42.98%
    Draw 27.05%
Backa TopolaDrawOlympiacos
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 29.97%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 11.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.98%

How you voted: Backa Topola vs Olympiacos

Backa Topola
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Olympiacos
75.0%
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