Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.